Ich stimme der Verwendung von Cookies zu. Auch wenn ich diese Website weiter nutze, gilt dies als Zustimmung.

Bitte lesen und akzeptieren Sie die Datenschutzinformation und Cookie-Informationen, damit Sie unser Angebot weiter nutzen können. Natürlich können Sie diese Einwilligung jederzeit widerrufen.





Inbox: Immofinanz: RCB sieht keinen Grund für ein Re-Rating und bleibt auf Reduce


CA Immo
Akt. Indikation:  30.58 / 30.88
Uhrzeit:  22:58:06
Veränderung zu letztem SK:  0.23%
Letzter SK:  30.66 ( -0.26%)

Immofinanz
Akt. Indikation:  23.50 / 23.70
Uhrzeit:  22:59:54
Veränderung zu letztem SK:  0.21%
Letzter SK:  23.55 ( -0.63%)

12.12.2017

Zugemailt von / gefunden bei: RCB (BSN-Hinweis: Lauftext im Original des Aussenders, Titel (immer) und Bebilderung (oft) durch boerse-social.com aus dem Fotoarchiv von photaq.com)

IMMOFINANZ confirmed at REDUCE, TP EUR 2.00 - Restart of merger discussions with CA Immo

- RCB earnings estimates and NAV forecasts are broadly unchanged
- Profitability of the group remains very low despite the sale of Russia
- We see the values of EMPARK Business Park in Warsaw at risk
- IMMOFINANZ trades at very demanding valuation multiples based on RCBe

3Q 17 results were mixed and showed the very slim profitability of IMMOFINANZ despite the significant reduction of vacancy rates, the painful sale of the Russian business and employee cost savings. Following the closing of the sale of the Russian portfolio the management is likely to resume discussions about a potential merger with CA Immo and we reckon that the prospective synergies and the share exchange ratio could be announced on April 4, 2018e at the earliest. Meanwhile, we keep our rating at REDUCE for IMMOFINANZ with an unchanged target price of EUR 2.00 due to broadly unchanged estimates and very demanding valuation multiples.
 
Fair or unfair property values: On December 7, 2017, IMMOFINANZ closed the sale (share deal) of the entire retail portfolio in Moscow to the Russian FORT Group. The implied disposal price for the gross assets amounts to EUR 750 mn, which is a massive EUR 226 mn below the fair value of the property assets in 2Q 17 and that was disappointing. Assets of EUR 150.2 mn for the Polish EMPARK Mokotow Business Park were classified as a disposal group in April 2016. In 3Q 17 the management now de-facto admits that only one out of a total of nine buildings can realistically be sold at fair value. We see a risk that either the values of this particular asset are overstated or significant investments are necessary in order to upgrade it.
 
Weak profitability: The adjusted EBITDA margin (excl. results of property sales) was up sequentially to 38.9% in 3Q 17 but that is very weak in comparison to Austrian peers. We think the current level of the adj. EBITDA margin at IMMOFINANZ is low although the vacancy rate of the portfolio improved from 15.8% in 2014/15 to 7.1% in 3Q 17, the Russian portfolio has been sold and the group realised employee cost savings. Recurring earnings (FFO I) of EUR 3.5 mn were in positive territory but still very low3Q 17. Adding one quarter of annual dividend payments received (EUR 5.3 mn) would lead to EUR 8.8 mn of recurring earnings in 3Q 17, which implies an annualised return on EPRA NAV of 1%, which we think is still meagre. Using our FFO I estimate of EUR 96 mn for 2019e the RoNAV is still below 3%.
 
Demanding valuation: Our unchanged target price of EUR 2.00 is based on the average of DCF and RoNAV valuation methods as shown in more detail later in this report. In terms of P/FFO 2018e the group trades at 31.0x, which is far ahead of the peers average and in terms of EV/EBITDA 2018e IMMOFINANZ is also trading at a significant premium of 27.9x against a peers average of 21.3x. Given the current poor profitability excluding Russia and despite the expected improvement of earnings until 2019e we see no reason for further re-rating of the stock.
       

Companies im Artikel

CA Immo

 
Mitglied in der BSN Peer-Group Immobilien
Show latest Report (09.12.2017)
 
Für Zusatzliquidität im Orderbuch der CA Immo-Aktien sorgen die Raiffeisen Centrobank AG als Specialist sowie die Market Maker Baader Bank AG, Erste Group Bank AG, Hudson River Trading Europe, Société Générale S.A., Tower Research Capital und Wood & Company Financial Services, Klick auf Institut/Bank öffnet Übersicht.



Immofinanz

 
Mitglied in der BSN Peer-Group Immobilien
Show latest Report (09.12.2017)
 
Für Zusatzliquidität im Orderbuch der Immofinanz-Aktien sorgen die Wood & Company Financial Services als Specialist sowie die Market Maker Baader Bank AG, Erste Group Bank AG, Hudson River Trading Europe, Raiffeisen Centrobank AG, Société Générale S.A. und Tower Research Capital, Klick auf Institut/Bank öffnet Übersicht.



Immofinanz - VIVO! Krosno Opening - (Fotocredit: Immofinanz) © Aussendung



Aktien auf dem Radar:Immofinanz, Addiko Bank, Wienerberger, Flughafen Wien, S Immo, DO&CO, EVN, Erste Group, Semperit, Pierer Mobility, UBM, Cleen Energy, Frequentis, Gurktaler AG Stamm, Mayr-Melnhof, RBI, Warimpex, Zumtobel, SW Umwelttechnik, Oberbank AG Stamm, Agrana, Amag, CA Immo, Kapsch TrafficCom, OMV, Österreichische Post, Strabag, Telekom Austria, Uniqa, VIG, SAP.

(BSN-Hinweis: Lauftext im Original des Aussenders, Titel (immer) und Bebilderung (oft) durch boerse-social.com aus dem Fotoarchiv von photaq.com)

Random Partner #goboersewien

PwC Österreich
PwC ist ein Netzwerk von Mitgliedsunternehmen in 157 Ländern. Mehr als 276.000 Mitarbeiterinnen und Mitarbeiter erbringen weltweit qualitativ hochwertige Dienstleistungen in den Bereichen Wirtschaftsprüfung, Steuer- und Rechtsberatung sowie Unternehmensberatung.

>> Besuchen Sie 68 weitere Partner auf boerse-social.com/goboersewien


Meistgelesen
>> mehr





PIR-Zeichnungsprodukte
AT0000A39UT1
AT0000A39G83
AT0000A2C5J0
Newsflow
>> mehr

Börse Social Club Board
>> mehr
    BSN Vola-Event SAP
    BSN Vola-Event Sartorius
    #gabb #1586

    Featured Partner Video

    Tamos Tag als Training

    Das Sporttagebuch mit Michael Knöppel - 7. April 2024 E-Mail: sporttagebuch.michael@gmail.com Instagram: @das_sporttagebuch Twitter: @Sporttagebuch_
    Das Sporttagebuch mit Michael Knöppel - 7. A...

    Books josefchladek.com

    Carlos Alba
    I’ll Bet the Devil My Head
    2023
    Void

    Helen Levitt
    A Way of Seeing
    1965
    The Viking Press

    Stefania Rössl & Massimo Sordi (eds.)
    Index Naturae
    2023
    Skinnerboox

    Andreas H. Bitesnich
    India
    2019
    teNeues Verlag GmbH

    Tommaso Protti
    Terra Vermelha
    2023
    Void

    Inbox: Immofinanz: RCB sieht keinen Grund für ein Re-Rating und bleibt auf Reduce


    12.12.2017, 5032 Zeichen

    12.12.2017

    Zugemailt von / gefunden bei: RCB (BSN-Hinweis: Lauftext im Original des Aussenders, Titel (immer) und Bebilderung (oft) durch boerse-social.com aus dem Fotoarchiv von photaq.com)

    IMMOFINANZ confirmed at REDUCE, TP EUR 2.00 - Restart of merger discussions with CA Immo

    - RCB earnings estimates and NAV forecasts are broadly unchanged
    - Profitability of the group remains very low despite the sale of Russia
    - We see the values of EMPARK Business Park in Warsaw at risk
    - IMMOFINANZ trades at very demanding valuation multiples based on RCBe

    3Q 17 results were mixed and showed the very slim profitability of IMMOFINANZ despite the significant reduction of vacancy rates, the painful sale of the Russian business and employee cost savings. Following the closing of the sale of the Russian portfolio the management is likely to resume discussions about a potential merger with CA Immo and we reckon that the prospective synergies and the share exchange ratio could be announced on April 4, 2018e at the earliest. Meanwhile, we keep our rating at REDUCE for IMMOFINANZ with an unchanged target price of EUR 2.00 due to broadly unchanged estimates and very demanding valuation multiples.
     
    Fair or unfair property values: On December 7, 2017, IMMOFINANZ closed the sale (share deal) of the entire retail portfolio in Moscow to the Russian FORT Group. The implied disposal price for the gross assets amounts to EUR 750 mn, which is a massive EUR 226 mn below the fair value of the property assets in 2Q 17 and that was disappointing. Assets of EUR 150.2 mn for the Polish EMPARK Mokotow Business Park were classified as a disposal group in April 2016. In 3Q 17 the management now de-facto admits that only one out of a total of nine buildings can realistically be sold at fair value. We see a risk that either the values of this particular asset are overstated or significant investments are necessary in order to upgrade it.
     
    Weak profitability: The adjusted EBITDA margin (excl. results of property sales) was up sequentially to 38.9% in 3Q 17 but that is very weak in comparison to Austrian peers. We think the current level of the adj. EBITDA margin at IMMOFINANZ is low although the vacancy rate of the portfolio improved from 15.8% in 2014/15 to 7.1% in 3Q 17, the Russian portfolio has been sold and the group realised employee cost savings. Recurring earnings (FFO I) of EUR 3.5 mn were in positive territory but still very low3Q 17. Adding one quarter of annual dividend payments received (EUR 5.3 mn) would lead to EUR 8.8 mn of recurring earnings in 3Q 17, which implies an annualised return on EPRA NAV of 1%, which we think is still meagre. Using our FFO I estimate of EUR 96 mn for 2019e the RoNAV is still below 3%.
     
    Demanding valuation: Our unchanged target price of EUR 2.00 is based on the average of DCF and RoNAV valuation methods as shown in more detail later in this report. In terms of P/FFO 2018e the group trades at 31.0x, which is far ahead of the peers average and in terms of EV/EBITDA 2018e IMMOFINANZ is also trading at a significant premium of 27.9x against a peers average of 21.3x. Given the current poor profitability excluding Russia and despite the expected improvement of earnings until 2019e we see no reason for further re-rating of the stock.
           

    Companies im Artikel

    CA Immo

     
    Mitglied in der BSN Peer-Group Immobilien
    Show latest Report (09.12.2017)
     
    Für Zusatzliquidität im Orderbuch der CA Immo-Aktien sorgen die Raiffeisen Centrobank AG als Specialist sowie die Market Maker Baader Bank AG, Erste Group Bank AG, Hudson River Trading Europe, Société Générale S.A., Tower Research Capital und Wood & Company Financial Services, Klick auf Institut/Bank öffnet Übersicht.



    Immofinanz

     
    Mitglied in der BSN Peer-Group Immobilien
    Show latest Report (09.12.2017)
     
    Für Zusatzliquidität im Orderbuch der Immofinanz-Aktien sorgen die Wood & Company Financial Services als Specialist sowie die Market Maker Baader Bank AG, Erste Group Bank AG, Hudson River Trading Europe, Raiffeisen Centrobank AG, Société Générale S.A. und Tower Research Capital, Klick auf Institut/Bank öffnet Übersicht.



    Immofinanz - VIVO! Krosno Opening - (Fotocredit: Immofinanz) © Aussendung





    BSN Podcasts
    Christian Drastil: Wiener Börse Plausch

    Börsepeople im Podcast S12/10: Robert Halver




    CA Immo
    Akt. Indikation:  30.58 / 30.88
    Uhrzeit:  22:58:06
    Veränderung zu letztem SK:  0.23%
    Letzter SK:  30.66 ( -0.26%)

    Immofinanz
    Akt. Indikation:  23.50 / 23.70
    Uhrzeit:  22:59:54
    Veränderung zu letztem SK:  0.21%
    Letzter SK:  23.55 ( -0.63%)



     

    Bildnachweis

    1. Immofinanz - VIVO! Krosno Opening - (Fotocredit: Immofinanz) , (© Aussendung)   >> Öffnen auf photaq.com

    Aktien auf dem Radar:Immofinanz, Addiko Bank, Wienerberger, Flughafen Wien, S Immo, DO&CO, EVN, Erste Group, Semperit, Pierer Mobility, UBM, Cleen Energy, Frequentis, Gurktaler AG Stamm, Mayr-Melnhof, RBI, Warimpex, Zumtobel, SW Umwelttechnik, Oberbank AG Stamm, Agrana, Amag, CA Immo, Kapsch TrafficCom, OMV, Österreichische Post, Strabag, Telekom Austria, Uniqa, VIG, SAP.


    Random Partner

    PwC Österreich
    PwC ist ein Netzwerk von Mitgliedsunternehmen in 157 Ländern. Mehr als 276.000 Mitarbeiterinnen und Mitarbeiter erbringen weltweit qualitativ hochwertige Dienstleistungen in den Bereichen Wirtschaftsprüfung, Steuer- und Rechtsberatung sowie Unternehmensberatung.

    >> Besuchen Sie 68 weitere Partner auf boerse-social.com/partner


    Immofinanz - VIVO! Krosno Opening - (Fotocredit: Immofinanz), (© Aussendung)


    Useletter

    Die Useletter "Morning Xpresso" und "Evening Xtrakt" heben sich deutlich von den gängigen Newslettern ab. Beispiele ansehen bzw. kostenfrei anmelden. Wichtige Börse-Infos garantiert.

    Newsletter abonnieren

    Runplugged

    Infos über neue Financial Literacy Audio Files für die Runplugged App
    (kostenfrei downloaden über http://runplugged.com/spreadit)

    per Newsletter erhalten


    Meistgelesen
    >> mehr





    PIR-Zeichnungsprodukte
    AT0000A39UT1
    AT0000A39G83
    AT0000A2C5J0
    Newsflow
    >> mehr

    Börse Social Club Board
    >> mehr
      BSN Vola-Event SAP
      BSN Vola-Event Sartorius
      #gabb #1586

      Featured Partner Video

      Tamos Tag als Training

      Das Sporttagebuch mit Michael Knöppel - 7. April 2024 E-Mail: sporttagebuch.michael@gmail.com Instagram: @das_sporttagebuch Twitter: @Sporttagebuch_
      Das Sporttagebuch mit Michael Knöppel - 7. A...

      Books josefchladek.com

      Carlos Alba
      I’ll Bet the Devil My Head
      2023
      Void

      Robert Frank
      The Americans (fifth American edition)
      1978
      Aperture

      Sebastián Bruno
      Duelos y Quebrantos
      2018
      ediciones anómalas

      Naotaka Hirota
      La Scène de la Locomotive à Vapeur
      1975
      Yomiuri Shimbun

      Christian Reister
      Nacht und Nebel
      2023
      Safelight